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NHNE Y2K Report 11
Monday, January 25, 1999

 

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NHNE Y2K Report 11
Monday, January 25, 1999

NHNE is also the force behind the wild2k Website:
http://www.wild2k.com/
"The Best of the Best of Y2K"

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WE HAD ONE MEMBER OF CONGRESS STAND UP

"We also must be ready for the 21st century, from its very first moment, by solving the so-called 'Y2K' computer problem. Now, we had one member of Congress stand up and applaud and we may have about that ratio out there applauding at home in front of their television sets. But remember, this is a big, big problem..."

---President Bill Clinton, State of the Union Address, January 19, 1999 (Complete text follows below)

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CONTENTS:

Y2K HEADLINES:

Massive New Year's Deployment of Canadian Troops Planned
Reports of Y2K Failures on the Rise
U.S. Medicare May Not Make It
Republicans Fear Y2K Delays in Social Security
Move to Delay New Year's 2000 by Three Days
McCain, Gorton Consider New Y2K Legislation
British Banks Refuse to Pledge Y2K Compliance
British Police Prepare for Millennium Burglars
Large UK Firms Fall Behind in Y2K Preparations
Chinese Airline Bosses Must Fly on New Year's Day

Y2K STORIES:

Report of National Mobilization of National Guard Untrue
Resilient Communities Satellite Conference
Y2K: Last Headache of the 20th Century, or First Crisis of the 21st?
The Y2K Problem & the Food Supply Sector
American Insulin: "No Cause for Alarm"?
Unplug for a Day
The Glitch Watch

Y2K RESOURCES:

The Stephens Register of Y2K Compliant Companies
Wise2k.com

THE LIGHTER SIDE OF Y2K:

Re: Vacation Pay

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Y2K HEADLINES:

MASSIVE NEW YEAR'S DEPLOYMENT OF CANADIAN TROOPS PLANNED
(Source: Jennifer Ditchburn, THE OTTAWA CITIZEN, 1/18/1999)

Canada's entire military machine of 60,000 troops, reservists and civilians is now being put on alert for the fallout from Y2K. A force of 14,500 servicemen and women had already been earmarked for mobilization on Jan. 1, 2000 and beyond as part of "Operation Abacus." The rest of the Forces, from search and rescue personnel to reservists, will be standing by, should the situation get serious. Abacus's headquarters in Kingston, Ontario will coordinate activities of the five command centers across Canada. Training exercises based on Year 2000 scenarios will be carried out three times this year. The price tag for Abacus is estimated at $386 million CDN. (JG)

Link: http://www.southam.com/ottawacitizen/newsnow/cpfs/national/990115/n01151
08.html

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REPORTS OF Y2K FAILURES ON THE RISE
(Source: JOURNAL OF COMMERCE INSURANCE NEWS, 1/19/1999 via YEAR 2000 INFORMATION CENTER)

A December survey by CAP GEMINI of 110 U.S. corporations, 12 federal,
state and local government agencies, and 12 industrial sectors has found that over half the respondents have already experienced Year 2000-related failures, and 98 percent expect more such failures in 1999. Most failures caused processing disruptions of financial miscalculations. Given these statistics, it is no wonder that the report also found that every company is now developing contingency plans to prepare for expected failures. In a similar study done in April, only 3 percent were putting together such plans. In addition, 69 percent of Y2K-compliant companies are now considering breaking off partnerships with those companies that are not making headway on the technology glitch, up from 60 percent in the third quarter. (JG)

Link: http://www.joc.com/issues/990119/i1nsur/e23991.htm

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U.S. MEDICARE MAY NOT MAKE IT
(Source: Christopher J. Dorobek, GOVERNMENT COMPUTER NEWS, 1/11/1999 via GARY NORTH'S Y2K LINKS AND FORUMS)

After a poor start on Year 2000 work and with much still to be done, the HEALTH CARE FINANCING ADMINISTRATION (HCFA) is now acknowledging that it is unlikely that all HCFA systems will be ready in time. HCFA's job is complicated by the fact that it must not only fix its own systems but ensure the readiness of systems run by 70 contractors and used by more than 900,000 providers. For example, the MEDICARE system, which processes nearly 17 million transactions a day and 1 billion claims each year, depends on a range of external systems including those run by state MEDICAID programs. To work on preparing its systems, HCFA will postpone implementing some provisions of the BALANCED BUDGET ACT of 1997. The agency also is pressuring its contractors to make progress on their systems fixes. Congress has helped by providing extra funding. While health officials are trying to put a positive spin on the situation, pointing out how much work has already been accomplished, John Callahan, Chief Information Officer for HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES (HHS) has a different view: "This may be unlike anything we've ever dealt with before....People know how to manage catastrophic events," but pointed out that Year 2000 problems could be the equivalent of ten hurricanes at once. (JG)

Link: http://www.ntgov.com/gcn/gcn/1999/january11/13a.htm

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REPUBLICANS FEAR Y2K DELAYS IN SOCIAL SECURITY
(Source: Stephen Barr, WASHINGTON POST, 1/17/1999 via Y2KNEWS)

Four congressional Republicans have challenged President Clinton's December assertion that Y2K will not delay payment of SOCIAL SECURITY checks next January. "While we are encouraged that the Social Security Administration has been deemed compliant, we understand that some financial institutions that are essential to recipients receiving payment may not be," the Republicans wrote in a letter to the President. "We will not consider the Social Security program safe until we are certain that every senior will get their Social Security payments on time." Monthly Social Security checks are calculated at the SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, paid by the TREASURY DEPARTMENT and transferred through the FEDERAL RESERVE system to banks, where 75 percent of all social security checks are electronically transferred to accounts. Clinton's special adviser for Y2K issues, John A. Koskinen, claimed that the Social Security program and the banks that distribute benefits "are in very good shape," and quipped that the Republicans "seem to be disappointed that we're making as much progress as we are." (JG)

Link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1999-01/17/231l-011799-idx.html

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MOVE TO DELAY NEW YEAR'S 2000 BY THREE DAYS
(Source: Stephen Barr, WASHINGTON POST, 1/17/1999 via Y2KNEWS)

Reps. John Linder (R-Ga.) and David Dreier (R-Calif.) have introduced legislation to move the government's observance of the next New Year's Day holiday from Dec. 31, 1999, to Jan. 3, 2000. Since New Year's Day 2000 falls on a Saturday, Linder figures the proposal will give companies and computer experts "an additional 24 hours to respond to problems that may arise." A White House task force is looking at the implications of moving the federal holiday. Several federal agencies, including SOCIAL SECURITY, have announced that their computer experts will work through next year's holiday weekend, running last-minute tests on systems. (JG)

Link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1999-01/17/231l-011799-idx.html

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McCAIN, GORTON CONSIDER NEW Y2K LEGISLATION
(Source: NEWSBYTES, Robert MacMillan, 1/15/1999 via SANGER'S REVIEW OF Y2K NEWS REPORTS)

SENATE COMMERCE COMMITTEE Chairman John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Sen. Slade Gorton (R-Wash.) are planning to introduce new legislation to reduce the number of lawsuits that may develop from Year 2000-related computer problems. Although the Year 2000 INFORMATION DISCLOSURE ACT recently passed by Congress included potential safeguards against frivolous litigation because of Year 2000 problems, the senators feel that this "Good Samaritan" Act does not contain enough provisions against litigation that would allow companies to share adequate amounts of information. "Without legislation, innocent people may be hurt by aggressive trial lawyers who use the Y2K situation...to enrich their own pockets." said McCain. Gorton added that "considering the overwhelming number of products and services that conceivably could be disrupted, we need legislation that allows businesses to solve the problem rather than defend against frivolous lawsuits." No definite legislation has been drafted yet, but more details should be available soon. (JG)

Link: http://www.newsbytes.com/pubNews/124611.html

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BRITISH BANKS REFUSE TO PLEDGE Y2K COMPLIANCE
Source: Marc Ambasna-Jones, VU NEWS, 1/14/1999 via GARY NORTH'S Y2K LINKS AND FORUMS)

ACTION 2000, the British agency promoting a Y2K awareness program called "Pledge 2000" to get companies to pledge Y2K readiness, is not having much success with UK banks, which are refusing to sign up fearing legal action if their computer systems then fail come the millennium. British banks are very risk averse, with most publishing Year 2000-readiness disclaimers on their websites, such as BARCLAYS BANK which states, "Although Barclays is taking all the steps it considers necessary to identify and manage Year 2000 risk, we make no express or implied warranties, guarantees representations of any kind with regard to Barclays' Year 2000 readiness." Government-backed Action 2000 has no power to force companies to take any action. (JG)

Link: http://webserv.vnunet.com/www_user/plsql/pkg_vnu_news.right_frame?p_date=14-JAN-
99&p_type=&p_story=72888

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BRITISH POLICE PREPARE FOR MILLENNIUM BURGLARS
(Source: Stewart Tendler TIMES (UK), 1/18/1999 via GARY NORTH'S Y2K LINKS AND FORUMS)

A special national force of more than 1,400 detectives will be on alert in Britain at the arrival of the millennium to deal with any criminals attempting to take advantage of electronic security breakdowns. Senior officers in the NATIONAL CRIME SQUAD (NCS), which tackles the top level of crime across the UK, are concerned that the millennium bug could result in failures in complex alarm systems protecting banks, security companies and commercial centers. Roy Penrose, Director-General of NCS, has canceled all leave for his officers throughout next Christmas and the New Year, saying, "We have to recognize there are great opportunities for organized crime if there are no alarms or lights working. We need to take this quite seriously...and can't be found wanting." (JG)

Link: http://www.sunday-times.co.uk/news/pages/tim/99/01/18/timnwsnws01016.html?2466332

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LARGE UK FIRMS FALL BEHIND IN Y2K PREPARATIONS
(Source: COMPUTERWEEKLY, 1/15/1999 via SANGER'S REVIEW OF Y2K NEWS REPORTS)

In contrast with the conventional wisdom that big businesses are well ahead in terms Y2K preparations, a recent survey by legal firm DIBB LUPTON ALSOP has cast doubt over the readiness of large UK companies to tackle the millennium bug. Half the firms surveyed had spent less than 40 percent of their Y2K budgets; 69 percent had not even fixed their central computer systems by the end of 1998, and many of the respondents had yet to complete a systems inventory. (JG)

Link: http://www.computerweekly.co.uk/cwmain/cwmainfram.asp

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CHINESE AIRLINE BOSSES MUST FLY ON NEW YEAR'S DAY
(Source: NANDO TIMES, 1/15/1999 via SANGER'S REVIEW OF Y2K NEWS REPORTS)

China has given managers of its state-run airlines the ultimate incentive to find solutions for the Year 2000 computer bug -- they must all personally board flights next New Year's Day. "We have to make sure there are no problems in aviation," explained Zhao Bohe, the MINISTRY OF INFORMATION INDUSTRY official tasked with handling the massive Year 2000 problem. CHINA'S STATE COUNCIL did not start to address the Year 2000 problem until July 1997 and only published a circular ordering an evaluation of the problem in government offices in July 1998. (JG)

Link: http://www2.nando.net/noframes/story/0,2107,7931-13668-96619-0,00.html

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Y2K STORIES:

REPORT OF NATIONAL MOBILIZATION OF NATIONAL GUARD UNTRUE
By James Gregory

Reports of a national mobilization of the National Guard as an exercise to prepare for Y2K threats are "absolutely untrue," says Jack Hooper, Public Affairs Officer with the NATIONAL GUARD BUREAU in Arlington, VA. "The whole thing is a misunderstanding of a planned communication exercise that has mushroomed into a brouhaha."

Hooper stated categorically that the so-called "COMEX/MOBEX" (COMmunication EXercise/MOBilization EXercise) reported recently in a three-part series by David M. Bresnahan in the WORLDNETDAILY "will not happen." What is planned for late spring/early summer is a national communication command post exercise (COMCPX) to check in with Guard leadership only, using a high frequency communication system. No individual soldiers will be mobilized or even contacted.

This calls into doubt the accuracy of the four long articles (a three-part series and follow-up) written by David M. Bresnahan and the credibility of any material published by WORLDNETDAILY. Bresnahan's articles include a number of highly-suspicious claims by unnamed sources in the National Guard Bureau, such as: that all 480,000 Guard members in the 50 states and four territories will be contacted in the mock mobilization, even it means officers going door to door; the National Guard plans to use a high frequency system for communications, but that no system currently exists; the Bureau is so concerned that Guard members will not show up for duty in late December, 1999 that they are paying them in advance and canceling all leaves; the Guard is preparing for fuel rationing and intends to commandeer domestic fuel depots; the National Guard believes the nation's power grid will collapse and is making plans accordingly; and that a full investigation has been instituted by the National Guard Bureau to track down the unnamed sources of the leaks.

These articles have received wide distribution on the Net, as well as much speculation as to their accuracy. Before reporting on Bresnahan's articles, NHNE decided to contact the National Guard directly. On Jan. 21, we conducted an exhaustive phone interview with Jack Hooper, Public Affairs Officer and Lt.-Col. Tom Schultz, Planning and Policy Officer, both at National Guard Bureau Headquarters in Arlington, VA.

Here are Hooper's and Schultz's comments (NG), as we went through Bresnahan's four articles chronologically (DB), point by point:

DB: "Plans for exercise COMEX/MOBEX involve a recall of the entire National Guard without the use of telephones to simulate communications failure because of the Y2K computer bug. The two-day test is tentatively scheduled for May 1."
NG: "There will be no mobilization exercise. This spring or early summer, the National Guard Bureau DOES plan to conduct COMCPX (a COMmunication Command Post eXercise) in all 54 states and territories, but it will involve LEADERSHIP ONLY and not go down to the level of individual soldiers. COMCPX will simply be a test of communications in a potentially-hostile Y2K environment."

DB: "A full investigation was instituted by the National Guard Bureau because of the leaks.
NG: "There is no investigation."

DB: "If communications and power are out at the start of the millennium, planners in the National Guard Bureau believe there will be civil unrest and riots."
NG: "This scenario has been discussed at the Bureau, as it has, no doubt, been discussed at all different levels of government; in fact, we would be surprised if every telephone exchange and large corporation isn't looking into the potential impact of Y2K. It is the National Guard's responsibility at the state level to look at all options and contingencies, take reality into account, and make plans accordingly.

DB: "The National Guard believes the nation's power grid will collapse and is making plans accordingly."
NG: "The National Guard is not the nation's electricity supplier, it is the nation's contingency force. This is a matter to take up with the power companies."

DB: "The National Guard and the Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) have plans to protect and control oil depots and refineries. 'We're looking at the strategic oil depots around the country, and we're going to make plans to commandeer them.'
NG: "'Commandeer' is a sensational word. If a state governor needed added security during a time of insecurity, he could request it of the Guard.

DB: "If you're in the military, particularly the National Guard, don't plan to go anywhere next December. All leaves will be canceled in anticipation of problems expected to be caused by the Y2K computer bug."
NG: "This is a non-issue. The National Guard Bureau doesn't approve or disapprove of leaves, since traditional Guard members do not earn leave. Each unit is required to drill one weekend per month, plus one two-week training period per year. These are not conducted all at same time. The time and location depend on the mission of each unit."

DB: "They're going to use HF (High Frequency) radios. The National Guard does not have an HF radio system in place at this time. One will be installed between now and May 1, the date of COMEX/MOBEX exercise."
NG: The National Guard already has a HF system. It was fielded in 1990."

DB: "Another officer fully expects travel restrictions to be placed on civilians."
NG: The National Guard is made up of citizen soldiers. Travel restrictions on civilians is not a Guard call."

DB: "The normal plans for a recall give troops 72 hours to report. COMEX/MOBEX is only scheduled as a two-day exercise. That is because guard members will not actually have to report to a military facility. They will simply sign a form when they are personally contacted to show that contact was made."
NG: "The MOBEX element is not true. Mobilization is a state option. The planned COMCPX will involve Guard leadership only; no individual soldiers will be contacted. The date has not been confirmed; the end of April/May is being considered. It may not be just one; there may be numerous exercises to test improvements and what was learned from previous exercises."

DB: "The National Guard is not planning COMEX/MOBEX on its own. The exercise will involve FEMA and other civilian federal agencies as well."
NG: "Interagency coordination with organizations such as FEMA is ongoing; for example, with weapons of mass destruction, the National Guard is heavily involved with ray teams.

DB: "Payroll for January 2000 will be paid a month early. One of the officers says that is to place guard members in a situation where they cannot refuse duty in the Y2K crisis because they will have already been paid in advance."
NG: "A Guard member does not have the option of refusing duty. Pay is not the motivator, respect for the Oath of Service to obey the orders of those in command, is. The Guard has a long history of service, and the vast majority of members put many more hours into service than is required. Tying commitment to duty to a paycheck creates a mercenary image of the National Guard that is an insult to individuals in the Guard."

DB: "A letter from the National Guard Bureau will soon be in the hands of every adjutant general. The letter will inform the guard leaders of each state about COMEX/MOBEX and how it will be conducted."
NG: "The reference to MOBEX is incorrect, but this is generally how information is passed on; however, 'letter' could just as easily be a fax or email. The governor is charge of the National Guard in his state, with the military side of each state commanded by an adjutant general (AG). The AG is under the authority of governor." [At the time of the interview, the two spokesmen for the National Guard Bureau could not confirm or deny whether this particular letter had gone out.]

Hooper and Schultz objected to the way in which Bresnahan and WORLDNETDAILY had gone about things: "The fact that the articles provide no verifiable sources, and that the National Guard Bureau had no opportunity to go on the record to refute the claims, are issues of concern." They went on to point out that the Bureau has directed the AGs in all states to ensure that their Guard units be fully Y2K compliant with respect to equipment, communications capabilities and computers in order to be capable of fulfilling their Y2K commission as directed by the state governors.

This has already begun in a number of states. In Washington state, for example, about 3,000 troops will be on duty at 39 armories across the state on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1 as a precaution. And in Wisconsin, the state assembly earlier this month advanced legislation that would mobilize that state's National Guard to respond to Y2K emergencies to provide security, emergency shelter and medical services, transportation, water distribution, clean up, search and rescue services and portable generators.

Each AG is under the authority of governor, unless the National Guard is federalized, which then places it under an active component of military service (Army/Air Force/Navy). Federalization of the Guard is by presidential directive and is a rare occurrence, since the President already has at his disposal the Army, the Navy, the Air Force, the Coast Guard and the Reserve. Federalization of the entire Guard has not occurred since W.W.II; however, the National Guard has been partially activated for such events as Desert Storm, Bosnia, Haiti, and most recently, Desert Shield.

"Perhaps the one good thing that has come out of all this," concluded Hooper, "is that it has raised the awareness of the National Guard and the importance of Y2K planning."

(Sources: Steve Vogel, WASHINGTON POST, 1/21/1999 via YEAR 2000 INFORMATION CENTER; David M. Bresnahan, WORLDNETDAILY, 1/18, 11, 7, 6/1999)

Link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/1999-01/21/075l-012199-idx.html

Link: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/bluesky_exnews/19990118_xex_the_threat_t.shtml

Link: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/bluesky_exnews/19990111_xex_bad_news_pow.sh
tml

Link: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/bluesky_exnews/19990107_xex_national_gua.sh
tml

Link: http://www.worldnetdaily.com/bluesky_exnews/19990106_xex_the_plan_mas.s
html

National Guard Bureau website: http://55.189.40.32/

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RESILIENT COMMUNITIES SATELLITE CONFERENCE
By James Gregory

On Jan. 14, WASHINGTON STATE UNIVERSITY sponsored "Inviting Leadership," the first in a three-part series of international satellite videoconferences on preparing for Y2K. Over 100 locations in Canada, the U.S. and Mexico tuned in to hear renowned futurist Robert Theobald (RT) and Y2K commentator Meg Wheatley (MW) discuss the need for new ways of relating as individuals and communities and the concept of a "resilient community," which embraces Y2K preparedness, leadership and community.

Here are a few edited excerpts from the two-hour conference:

RT: "National leadership is largely missing on the real core issues of our time. We need communities to be more effective."

MW: "Y2K is not primarily a technical problem; it is a reminder that we are living in complex, interconnected systems which require us to work in very different ways from those in which we are now organized. Few of us recognize how vulnerable we are to disruptions. The level of impact of Y2K will depend on how much we recognize this."

RT: "Y2K is a way to get people to recognize challenges which we should have dealt with decades ago. But now we have a non-negotiable deadline."

MW: People are extraordinarily competent when they are enabled and challenged to do their best, such as during the Oklahoma bombing. Our culture has relied on laws, experts and professionals. We need to free people up to use their imagination."

RT: "The ways in which communities organize in 1999 will be very different to the norm we have seen in the past. We need the type of leader about which Lao Tzu spoke when he said that, 'When the leader leads well, the people will say, "We did it ourselves."' One of the primary goals of today's broadcast is to encourage people to see what roles they can play in creating a positive 'leaderful' community."

MW: "We need to go back to basic values of honesty, responsibility, humility and love. We need to respect nature, the spiritual and the sacred."

The next videoconference will be held on April 8 with the theme "Preparing for Y2K," and will feature Y2K analyst Cynthia Beale. The final video conference will be held on May 27, and will present directions in which communities around the world are heading.

For program content, contact "theobald@iea.com". For more information on upcoming video conferences call Amanda Butcher at (509) 494-6733 or visit the Resilient Communities website.

Resilient Communities website: http://www.resilientcommunities.org

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Y2K: LAST HEADACHE OF THE 20TH CENTURY, OR FIRST CRISIS OF THE 21ST?
By James Gregory

President Clinton's unexpected reference to the Y2K problem late in his State of the Union address on Jan. 19 left the House chamber unusually quiet -- only one member of Congress applauded -- a stark contrast to the 95 times he was interrupted by applause during other parts of his 77-minute speech.

Here is a transcript of his Y2K remarks:

"We...must be ready for the 21st century, from its very first moment, by solving the so-called 'Y2K' computer problem. [One person stands up and applauds.] Now...we may have about that ratio out there applauding at home in front of their television sets, but remember, this is a big, big problem. And we've been working hard on it. Already we've made sure that the Social Security checks will come on time....I want all the folks at home listening to this to know that we need every state and local government, every business, large and small, to work with us to make sure that this Y2K computer bug will be remembered as the last headache of the 20th century, not the first crisis of the 21st."

Sen. Robert Bennett (R-Utah), Chairman of the Senate's YEAR 2000 COMMITTEE, called Clinton's remarks "appropriate," but chided the President for not taking a more active role earlier and for waiting so long into his speech before broaching the subject.

Contrast Clinton's vague and brief remarks with these edited excerpts from South Dakota Governor William J. Janklow's State-of-the-State address on Jan. 13:

"We face an absolute catastrophe in the world because of [Y2K]; on the other hand, it may not be much of anything. The problem is: we don't know. I CAN tell you that if Year 2000 hit today, the electric grid that serves South Dakota would go down."

"We must let the public know what is Y2K compliant and what isn't. [All] our power companies have to function, because one of them going down can suck the whole grid down. We've got to make sure that we have municipal water and rural water. The sewer systems have to work -- municipal water is meaningless if you can't flush it or let it go down the drain. Natural gas has to work. We have 60-some phone companies in South Dakota. They all have to be ready. Every hospital has to be ready, at least with respect to feeding and caring for the people who are there. Law enforcement and the fire department equipment have to function. The top eighteen 911s in South Dakota are not Y2K compliant, but they are working on it."

"I can tell you that I'm absolutely, positively, unequivocally assured by our folks in state government [that] we will be ready. We're dealing with all our systems -- not [just those deemed] 'critical' -- they're ALL critical! And we don't count [one of] ours 'ready' until we have taken it to the mountain in Colorado where our back-up center is, and run the whole thing on their computers. If it doesn't work, we don't count it as ready. But I'm assured we will be ready by July 1 of this year. From that point on, we will be testing and retesting until the end of the year."

"I'm going to use [all my] gubernatorial powers to get the information and make it available -- we are going to put together a group of people to make regular reports to the public [on] these specific areas. This is terribly critical, and so, rather than being alarmist, we will try and get the information [out] as fast as we can. And we will be prepared, [for] those (hopefully) limited emergency situations that we have to deal with December 31."

(Sources: Paul Kawika Martin, EARTHCULTURE, 1/20/1999; Ted Bridis, ASSOCIATED PRESS/LA TIMES, 1/20/1999 via YEAR 2000 INFORMATION CENTER; South Dakota Governor William J. Janklow's State-of-the-State Address, 1/13/1999; with reporting assistance from Sherry Stultz, Patty Birch and Ellen Cooper)

Link: http://cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/stories/1999/01/19/sotu.transcript/

Link: http://www.latimes.com/HOME/NEWS/WIRES/WPOLITICS/tCB00V0374.1.html

Link: http://www.state.sd.us/governor/FILES/sos99c/transcript.htm

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THE Y2K PROBLEM & THE FOOD SUPPLY SECTOR
(Source: USDA website, thanks to Larry Shook)

Y2K analyst Larry Shook advises, "The best insurance against [the Y2K] threat is a historic national local food security mobilization. Local community-supported agriculture should be expanded, farmers markets...should be created and expanded, citizens should be taught to plant home gardens and save seeds....There is not a moment to lose."

Shook also recommends that everyone concerned about Y2K's potential food danger should read the food-risk statement posted on the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA) website. Here are some excerpts:

"Food suppliers...are heavily dependent on computerized processing and information exchange. For example, farmers and ranchers use electronic equipment to water fields, feed animals, and transport what they produce. Processors rely on automated systems that help prepare and package consumer-ready products. Distributors, wholesalers, and retailers depend on computer-driven equipment to transport, deliver, store, display, and sell food products. Any interruption along this 'farm to fork' chain can result in a direct loss to those who supply food. That can mean more expensive, less available, food supplies."

"The Department of Agriculture is leading the government's outreach effort to the food supply sector, working with the Departments of State, Defense, Health and Human Services, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The FOOD SUPPLY WORKING GROUP has identified nearly 100 broad constituency categories that are involved in food production, processing, distribution, and sales and related activities. It is working closely with industry and other groups to raise awareness about the Y2K problem, and possible solutions."

What can you do? The USDA recommends the following steps.

1. Assess your personal and business vulnerability.
2. Fix any problem you uncover NOW.
3. Stay Informed. (JG)

USDA web page: http://www.fsis.usda.gov/OM/y2kfact2.htm

The Small Business Association's Y2K website: http://www.sba.gov

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AMERICAN INSULIN: "NO CAUSE FOR ALARM"?
By James Gregory

In Y2K Report 8, we ran a story called "American Diabetics Not Dependent on European Insulin." To clarify and doublecheck distribution issues in the U.S., we contacted ELI LILLY ourselves. Here is what we found out from Jeff Newton, Director of Media Relations with Lilly:

All Lilly's human insulin for the American market is made in their plant in Indianapolis. While Newton was not able to release details about the marketshare of his company, he was able to say that Eli Lilly is the market leader in insulin in the U.S. and that NOVA NORDISK of South Carolina is their competitor.

Since 1996, Lilly has been quite concerned about the impact of Y2K on their operations and by the end of 1999 will have spent upwards of $190 million on compliancy issues. Newton promises "95 percent readiness" by June.

When asked about the concern about Y2K disrupting the distribution of insulin, Newton pointed out that Lilly has their own fleet of trucks to distribute their products to wholesalers. He mentioned they also have a back-up distribution plan in place, but did not give any details.

When pointedly asked if American diabetics have any cause for concern about Y2K impacting the availability of insulin, Newton said, "There is absolutely no cause for alarm. While no one can issue a guarantee, Eli Lilly is confident of the manufacture [and distribution] of their pharmaceuticals."

Eli Lilly Website: http://www.lilly.com/index.html

NHNE Y2K Report 8: http://dispatch.mail-list.com/archives/nhnelist/msg00032.html

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UNPLUG FOR A DAY!
(Source: Judy Laddon, Y2K NEIGHBORHOOD, 1/8/99, thanks to Tom Atlee)

Here's an intriguing idea for any community. More and more people are becoming aware that the Year 2000 computer could cause isolated or multiple failures of infrastructure creating local disruptions similar to an ice storm or hurricane. Taking their cue from a citizen group in Santa Rosa, CA, Y2K NEIGHBORHOOD of Spokane, Washington is promoting a series of "Y2K Practice Days" in order to highlight how to become more self-sufficient.

This is meant to be an interesting and fun exercise that tests your wits, wisdom and ingenuity. Here are the rules of the game:

1. No phones.

2. Transportation: only human or animal-powered transport. Walk, bike, use a horse, skis, dogsled.

3. Electricity: use electrical devices only if they are connected to a generator actually operating during the practice. Tape your freezer and refrigerator shut.

4. Heat: any safe source that does not use electricity -- woodstove, fireplace, bearskin, buffalo robe or long underwear!

5. Light: any safe source that does not use electricity -- kerosene, oil, camp lanterns, candles, flashlights.

6. Cooking: any safe source that does not use electricity or city natural gas -- camp stoves, gas grills, Dutch ovens buried in a firepit, solar ovens.

7. Water: any safe source that does not use city water or an electrical pump. Toilets must be flushed with stored or carried water -- rainwater, cisterns, streams, hand pumps, bottled water.

8. Entertainment: books, handcrank radio, games, crafts, chocolate, campfires, popcorn, storytelling.

Play safe, have fun and enjoy yourselves. The first game is slated for January 29-30. Next regularly scheduled games: March 26-27, May 28-29, July 30-31, September 24-25, November 26-27. Of course, the real game begins January 1, 2000!

Y2K Neighborhood contact: Judy Laddon, Editor of AWAKENING: THE UPSIDE OF Y2K, The Printed Word, 4327 S. Perry, Spokane, WA 99203, (509) 524-3177. Email: "jgladdon@aol.com". Phone: (509) 624-3177.

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THE GLITCH WATCH
(Sources: Adam L. Penenberg & Joanne Gordon, FORBES, 1/11/1999 via SANGER'S REVIEW OF Y2K NEWS REPORTS; "Inviting Leadership: Finding Our Role in Resilient Communities" Teleconference, 1/22/1999)

Wonder what the movers and shakers are doing for New Year's a year from now? Here are the results of a survey conducted by FORBES MAGAZINE, with additional comments from Robert Theobald and Meg Wheatley which were made during their January 22nd satellite conference:

Edward Yardeni, Chief economist for DEUTSCHE BANK SECURITIES, New York, N.Y.: Says Y2K likely to cause recession. "I'll be home in the suburbs with extra cash on hand, some boxes of spaghetti, bottled water and flashlights. I won't be running out into the woods with a shotgun -- I'd be too afraid of running into other guys with shotguns."

Gary North, Y2K analyst, Fayetteville, Ark. whose website (garynorth.com) prophesies Armageddon: Will watch the chaos on TV -- if it still works. "I predict a stock market collapse; the breakdown of most postal services, banks and credit card companies; and a mass exodus of programmers, leaving no one to fix things."

Robert Theobald, futurist and socioeconomist: Struggled with where he was going to spend the rollover -- his native land of Australia or his adopted land of the U.S.A. Has decided on Spokane, WA, "where power is not a critical issue." Has organized a local Y2K group, because the best preparation is a prepared community. Is concerned about who is going to take of the most vulnerable: the poor and the old.

James Schwitz, Executive Vice President, NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION, Washington, D.C.: "The only way the FAA will know if its Y2K fixes work will be when the clock ticks past midnight on Jan. 1, 2000 during live traffic. I don't care to be one of their guinea pigs."

Scott Nason, Chief Information Officer, AMERICAN AIRLINES, Fort Worth, Tex.: Early on Dec. 31, he'll call QANTAS AIRLINES in Australia -- the millennium hits them 14 hours before the U.S. Then he'll throw an office party for his staff: "We'll start drinking after midnight, and they'll party until they fall asleep. If needed, I'll know where to find them."

Gregor Bailar, Executive Vice President and Chief Information Officer, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SECURITIES DEALERS, Rockville, Md.: When asked if his account might get deleted, he retorts, "Ludicrous!" but adds, "I'll have paper printouts of my personal finances, just in case."

Vito C. Peraino, Partner, HANCOCK ROTHERT & BUNSHOFT, Los Angeles, Calif. "It will be the biggest litigation event in history, so I'll be busy with clients...The nature of this problem makes large-scale unrest conceivable."

Margaret Wheatley, Y2K commentator and Professor of Management: Other than buying a lot of supplies, like toilet paper, and a generator, admits, "I don't know what to do. I am trusting my intuition and guidance to alert me. I am humbled by how little I know, even though I read voluminously." Is alerting her children to the potential dangers of Y2K.

Frank Ianna, President, AT&T Network Services, Basking Ridge, N.J.: Spent $600 million on Y2K. Will be at work, preparing contingency plans. "Since we are an international company, we'll greet the New Year 24 times in one day."

Peter de Jager, Y2K Consultant, Brampton, Ont.: First sounded the Y2K alarm in 1993. "My biggest fear is the media will ramp up the Y2K threat so high that people will panic and cause a run on the banks. Don't listen to the lunatics who tell you to head to a cabin in the woods with a year's worth of food."

John Panchery, Technology Vice President, SECURITIES INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION, New York, N.Y.: Will oversee SWAT teams working to stave off Y2K disaster. "Anything we can't control, like utilities, is a liability. Wall Street's big computers are cooled by water and can't function without it. Some broker-dealers keep securities in safes with embedded chips, but safes may not open come the Year 2000."

Edward Yourdon, Y2K consultant; co-author of "Time Bomb 2000," New York, N.Y.: Says 15 percent of systems won't be fixed in time. "We won't be in any urban areas. Power outages could cause social unrest." Has recently moved to New Mexico, where rooftop solar panels free him from relying on power grid. (JG)

Link: http://www.forbes.com:80/forbes/99/0111/6301052a.htm

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Y2K RESOURCES:

THE STEPHENS REGISTER OF Y2K COMPLIANT COMPANIES
(Source: Stevens Techmark, 1/22/1999 via GARY NORTH'S Y2K LINKS AND FORUMS)

The STEPHENS REGISTER tracks publicly-traded companies that are, or soon to be, 100% Y2K compliant. At the moment, it is a distressingly short list: AT&T, BLYTH INDUSTRIES, THE BUCKLE, CYPROS PHARMACEUTICAL, DATARAM, FRENCH FRAGRANCES, LOWES COMPANIES, NEOMAGIC, FINANCIAL FEDERAL CORP, and KMART CORPORATION. (JG)

Link: http://www.sy2k.com/

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WISE2K.COM

Something of a sister-site to our own wild2k Website has emerged. Called "Wise2k," this new website focuses on inner preparedness and social awareness, and offers online dialogues with futurist Peter Russell, Y2K author/activist Tom Atlee, and millennialism scholar Richard Landes. The Wise2k Website seeks to provide "a balance of spiritual growth, social transformation, historical awareness, healing, and humor in the face of the Y2K conundrum examined within the context of the mounting global crises of our time." Wise2k.com is a part of IntegralSpirit.com, the popular online community and bookstore for integral spirituality & culture. It's a place for public online dialogue, supported by a screened selection of books available at the site plus essays and links to sources of Y2K wisdom and sane social visions for the Y2K era.

The inaugural online conference features PETER RUSSELL, author of "Waking Up in Time: Finding Inner Peace in Times of Accelerating Change" (Origin Press, October 1998). Russell is a former student of Stephen Hawking and author of the international bestseller "The Global Brain". A second online conference is hosted by TOM ATLEE, co-editor of "Awakening: The Upside of Y2K" (The Printed Word, October 1998). Atlee is director of the Co-Intelligence Institute, a key national resource for understanding Y2K's social dimensions. Soon to be launched is a dialogue with historian RICHARD LANDES, Ph.D., Director of the Center for Millennium Studies at BOSTON UNIVERSITY. (DS)

For more on Wise2k.com, contact Byron Belitsos:
eMail: byron@integralspirit.com

Press contact is Eleanor Ryan:
eMail: eleanor@integralspirit.com
Phone: (415) 898-4304

Wise2k Website: http://www.wise2k.com

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THE LIGHTER SIDE OF Y2K:

RE: VACATION PAY
(Source: Anonymous, thanks to Diane Luboff)

January 1, 2000

Dear Valued Employee:

Our records indicate that you have not used any vacation time over the past 100 year(s). As I'm sure you are aware, employees are granted three weeks of paid leave per year or pay in lieu of time off. One additional week is granted for every five years of service. Please either take 9,400 days off work or notify our office and your next paycheck will reflect payment of $8,277,432.22 which will include all pay and interest for the past 1,200 months.

Sincerely,
Automated Payroll Processing

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Copyright 1999 by NewHeavenNewEarth

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Founder & Publisher: David Sunfellow (DS)
Editor-in-Chief: James Gregory (JG)
Secretary/Treasurer: Diane (Di) Ayers

NHNE Y2K Research Team: Sherry Stultz (SJS), Robert Sniadach (RS), Einiyah ben-Elyon (EBE), David La Chapelle (DLC), Lance Botthof (LB), Kathleen Blake (KB)

NewHeavenNewEarth (NHNE)
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NHNE is the force behind:

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The Sedona Y2K Task Force: http://www.wild2k.com/sedona/

The Global Truth Network: http://www.nhne.com/globaltruth/

NewEarthNet: http://nen.sedona.net/members.html

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